Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffEuropePolitica5mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 26, 18:33 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel and Syria normalize relations by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027??
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X