Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.6%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto4 ago 26, 04:42 UTC4 ago 36, 04:42 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse?
Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?
PolymarketWill Mitch McConnell speak this year?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Neal Dunn dies before Mitch McConnell.
- This market resolves to NO if Mitch McConnell dies before Neal Dunn.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by official announcements of death reported by major reputable news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times).
- Same-Day Deaths: If both individuals die on the same calendar day, the market will resolve based on the official time of death.
- If the precise sequence of deaths cannot be verified from official reports, the market will resolve to 50%.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 agosto 2036.
- Come viene liquidato Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria