Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.3%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto19 feb 26, 12:54 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
KalshiWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Meta release Llama 5?
Manifold MarketsWill Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWho wins the annual video game predictions on the TripleClick podcast?
Manifold MarketsRegole
There are reports that Meta is developing a smartwatch (project codenamed “Malibu.”) The question resolves to Yes if a Meta-branded smartwatch becomes available for order before the end of 2026.
Mercati aperti
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume totale
- 12,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume totale
- 15,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 Mln €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 Mln €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume totale
- 2,1 Mln €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026??
- Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Meta release a smartwatch in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: There are reports that Meta is developing a smartwatch (project codenamed “Malibu.”) The question resolves to Yes if a Meta-branded smartwatch becomes available for order before the end of 2026.