Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59.4%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 lug 26, 13:27 UTC30 giu 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Right now the app involves using the manifold website to access at least on Iphone.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, before July 1, 2027, Manifold Markets releases an official mobile application (for iOS and/or Android) that is built using a native UI framework (such as SwiftUI, Jetpack Compose, Flutter, or fully-native React Native UI elements), rather than primarily rendering their Next.js web application inside a WebView wrapper.
- Specifically:
- The mobile app must render its core features (including browsing markets, placing bets, and viewing profiles) natively rather than pulling in the standard web interface via an iframe, WebView, or PWA-equivalent shell.
- Evidence of a native rebuild can come from official developer updates, the Manifold Changelog, Manifold's Substack, or public repository updates on the Manifold GitHub showing a transition away from react-native-webview wrapper code.
