Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”
WeatherOne-OffIntrattenimento2gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.6%
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8
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 23:47 UTC10 set 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World hosts at least one official nighttime fireworks spectacular on every single calendar night from August 12, 2026, through September 10, 2026 (inclusive, Eastern Time).
- This market will resolve to NO if, on any calendar night within this date range, no fireworks show is performed at Magic Kingdom for any reason—including but not limited to severe weather, high winds, technical failures, schedule alterations, or park closures.
- Clarifications:
- What counts: Both the standard Happily Ever After show and the special party-exclusive Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular (shown during Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party nights) count as valid fireworks shows.
- Delays: A show that is delayed but is ultimately performed on that calendar day (even if late) will count toward a YES resolution.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”?
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria