Will Lula win the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff in Brazil?
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
24 ott 26, 23:08 UTC25 ott 26, 19:00 UTC
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the Brazilian presidential runoff on October 25, 2026?
Manifold MarketsBrazil presidential runoff: voter turnout
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Kalshi🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRegole
The runoff is between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- Resolves YES if Lula is declared the winner according to the official results of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- Resolves NO if Flávio Bolsonaro is declared the winner.
- Resolves N/A if the runoff is postponed beyond November 15, 2026.
- Trading closes October 25, 2026 at 12:00 Paris time, before polls close.
- The creator will not bet on this market and will resolve it only after the official results.
