Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated?
US PoliticsGeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 73%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 26, 17:04 UTC31 dic 26, 18:02 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Do the recent deaths/disappearances of NASA, nuclear research, & defense-related scientists suggest something sinister?
Manifold MarketsAt least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
Manifold MarketsWhich regions will Russia claim sovereignty over as of 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Corroboration can come from any of the following sources: NYTimes, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, Washington Post, NBC News, MSNBC, BBC, Al Jazeera.
- Corroboration must involve more than a simple recitation of the claims made by Larry Johnson.
- Market starts at 15% because I find the source especially non-credible.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated??
- Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Corroboration can come from any of the following sources: NYTimes, WSJ, CNN, Fox News, Washington Post, NBC News, MSNBC, BBC, Al Jazeera.