Will Kim Ju Ae be formally designated as the heir to Kim Jong Un in 2026?
One-OffPoliticaGeopolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 90%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto12 feb 26, 20:15 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Requires a formal announcement from North Korean government.
- Will resolve based on a consensus of popular reporting: not just that intelligence analysis or reading between the lines indicates Kim Ju Ae as the likely successor, but reporting indicating that North Korea has formally designated Kim Ju Ae as the next leader after Kim Jong Un.
- Resolves when this occurs, even if later in the year, this is changed or undone.
- If her name is different than Kim Ju Ae, but we're still referring to the 12-14 year old daughter of Kim Jong Un (his ~probably second oldest child), then that's fine, given that her name is uncertain at the moment.
- I will not bet on this market, so as to remain unbiased as to what constitutes a formal announcement of her position as heir.
