Previsione della comunità attuale
No 97.1%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto13 giu 24, 07:43 UTC31 dic 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is UK Prime Minister on 31 December 2031.
- (Note that if there is a general election in the summer of 2029, then the end of 2031 will be 2.5 years into that parliament.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve YES, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2031).
