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Dati al 23 ott 2026, 03:46 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
June 30, 2027 15%
June 30, 2027 15%Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
815,6 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
2
Commenti
3
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
UK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham
Manifold MarketsOn which days will Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister
Manifold MarketsNext UK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham?
Manifold MarketsWill someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiRegole
This event predicts whether Andy Burnham will leave the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by the dates listed in the markets.
- For the purposes of this event, "leave office" means that Andy Burnham ceases to hold the position of Prime Minister — through resignation, removal, replacement, or any other cause that ends his premiership, including death or permanent incapacity.
- Each market below covers one deadline and resolves on its own; any number of these markets may resolve 'Yes'.
- Resolution is based on the substantive exit from the office, not temporary incapacity or ceremonial delegation of duties.
- A resignation announcement alone does not qualify: the market period in which Burnham actually ceases to hold the office is the one that governs.
- Once a market's condition is met, it resolves to 'Yes' immediately and irrevocably, regardless of later events.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...? · December 31 7%