If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PoliticaOne-OffEurope Elezione1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 97.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 ore fa

Obsoleto

4 giu 24, 16:21 UTC1 gen 28, 23:59 UTC

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N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PoliticaOne-OffEurope Elezione1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 97.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 ore fa

Obsoleto

4 giu 24, 16:21 UTC1 gen 28, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Manifold Markets

If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket

Regole

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028??: Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028??: If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
Come viene liquidato If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

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