Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space??

Manifold Markets quota No al 50.5% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space??

Will Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 marzo 2054.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 50.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

28 mar 24, 07:35 UTC29 mar 54, 03:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.

If Jeff Bezos spends 24 hours consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
I will not bet in this market
Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute (this market) @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out