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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticaIA1a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì
Sì 13.9%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori

25

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto
9 nov 24, 15:3717 gen 28, 6:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes14%

Regole

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure:

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$65,925.21+2.16%EthereumETH$1,721.34+2.38%SolanaSOL$71.27+3.35%DogecoinDOGE$0.089+1.04%BNBBNB$617.89+1.31%XRPXRP$1.19+3.04%

Notizie Correlate

Decentralized AI Networks Emerge as Counterweight to Government Control Over Frontier ModelsBlockchain ReporterAmazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: ReportsCointelegraph2028 Race Shifts as JD Vance Leads Polymarket Odds despite Market VolatilityBlockchain.NewsTrump's Presidency in Doubt as June 30 Deadline LoomsBlockchain.NewsIsrael PM odds edge toward Netanyahu as Polymarket shows hedged outlookBlockchain.NewsLeading Polymarket bets pin GOP-leaning odds on Newsom in 2028 raceBlockchain.News

Regole

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure: