Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 25, 04:19 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Temporary Presidencies Excluded:
- If JD Vance serves as president solely due to a temporary or acting capacity (such as a brief succession triggered by another president’s incapacitation), that scenario will not be counted.
- Only cases where JD Vance assumes the presidency in a permanent or constitutionally recognized manner will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
