Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 61.8%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto15 lug 24, 22:34 UTC1 gen 34, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
During which election will any of Donald Trump's children run for President of the United States the soonest?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance ever be president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 847,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033??
- Will JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2034.