Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 92%
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22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 23, 17:42 UTC10 dic 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.
- If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
- His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia.
- This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
- I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think.
- I do not plan to bet on this market.
