Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneLatin America1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 92%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto20 nov 23, 17:42 UTC10 dic 27, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
PolymarketWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurRegole
As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.
- If he dies before his term begins, this resolves NO.
- His term ends 10 December 2027 according to wikipedia.
- This market closes the day before that, with my intent being to resolve the day after.
- I can't think of any other semi-ambiguous resolution possibilities, but if one comes up I'll outline what I think.
- I do not plan to bet on this market.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president??
- Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Javier Milei survive to the end of his first term as president??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As it says, I mean literally survive - if he's removed from office but remains alive until the date this resolves YES.