Will it become public that Monero has been compromised currently before 2030?
One-OffCriptoRegolamentazione3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.3%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto27 giu 25, 01:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if credible evidence is made public before January 1, 2030, that the Monero protocol or its cryptographic primitives are compromised as of this market being created.
- The nature of the compromise must meaningfully affect Monero's privacy or fungibility guarantees - such as a backdoor in its ring signatures, zero-knowledge proofs, or stealth addressing mechanisms enabling de-anonymization or tracing of transactions.
- Evidence must be reported by a credible cryptographic researcher, cybersecurity firm, leaked government document, or whistleblower, and receive significant coverage from reputable sources (academic publications, major legacy news outlets, or promonant cryptography blogs).
- Purely theoretical attacks / unfounded speculation do not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
