Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 90.3%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 09:55 UTC15 mag 27, 19:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiWhich country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Eurovision Song Contest Asia show happen?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) officially announces that Israel is banned or suspended from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest prior to the commencement of the 2027 Grand Final.
- It resolves to NO if Israel remains eligible to compete in the 2027 contest or if no such ban/suspension is announced before the final event.
- The primary source of resolution will be official statements released by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or the official Eurovision Song Contest website.
- If the EBU issues a statement regarding Israel's participation status, that determination will be final.
- The Eurovision Song Contest has faced significant political pressure regarding participant eligibility in recent years.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 312,6K €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 153,3K €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 maggio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Israel be banned before Eurovision Song Contest 2027 happens??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria