Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.5%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 08:27 UTC16 mar 27, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES if I submit the Common Application to Stanford for Fall 2027 transfer entry, with the Stanford supplement and application fee (or fee waiver) completed, by 11:59 PM Central Time on March 15, 2027.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Close date: March 16, 2027.
- Notes: Resolution depends only on my submission of the applicant-controlled portion.
Mercati aperti
Society & Culture
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 8,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027??
- Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will I submit a transfer application to Stanford by Mar 15, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if I submit the Common Application to Stanford for Fall 2027 transfer entry, with the Stanford supplement and application fee (or fee waiver) completed, by 11:59 PM Central Time on March 15, 2027.