Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.9%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 dic 25, 10:33 UTC8 dic 33, 10:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I still be active on Manifold in 1 year?
Manifold MarketsWill MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November?
Manifold MarketsDuolingo language rankings · #2 in 2026?
KalshiDuolingo language rankings · Top 10 in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if I personally resolve this market within 72 hours of its scheduled close date(08.12.2033), indicating that I was still an active Manifold user at the time.
- Resolves NO if:
- I do not resolve the market within 72 hours after close, or
- A moderator or anyone else ends up resolving it on my behalf (which would imply I was inactive).
- I will only bet YES on this market.
