Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 75.1%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto16 dic 24, 02:36 UTC31 dic 26, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-6.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-4.0pt3%
- Volume totale
- 19,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 16,2K €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.2pt97%
- Yes-0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400098%
- Above 6000+5.0pt69%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 904K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2K €
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 49-6.0pt45.8%
- 50 or more+26.9pt36.5%
- 20 to 34-26.5pt16.7%
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 13,9K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 altri esiti
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.