Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 15:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 54.3%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 26, 03:37 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I’m so bad at predictions man.
- Seriously, my accuracy is worse than 50%, I’m like that Jim Cramer tracker.
- At this point I should consider making a bot that automatically bids the opposite to me.
- This market will resolve to YES if I have a positive all time mana profit for at least 1 day before 2030.
- The figure currently stands at around -6.5k mana.
- Feel free to ask questions and I’ll answer them as best I can.