Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo25 mar 24, 02:05 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I get a bf before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsWill I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?
Manifold MarketsHow hard will it be to import my prereqs into the California Community Colleges system given my graduate degree?
Manifold MarketsColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRegole
Any kind of grad school would count.
- 2028 is my expected college graduation year, and grad school is a common path for people similar to me.
- Currently it doesn’t seem very appealing to me, but maybe I’ll change my mind.
- Update: I’m going to Stanford, so I think the chances are lower - since there’s more opportunity in the Bay to work at or found a startup / do other meaningful work out of college.
- I may resolve this market a few months early if the outcome is clear.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 8,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume totale
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 136,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I be attending graduate school in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I be attending graduate school in 2028??
- Will I be attending graduate school in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will I be attending graduate school in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Any kind of grad school would count.