Previsione della comunità attuale
No 62.5%
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42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 24, 17:39 UTC15 apr 28, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2028?
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FutuurParis Accord goal of reducing global Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 43%: achieved by the end of 2030?
FutuurWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 37,500 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.
- Here is the graph for the past few years form IEA.
- China alone grew around 565 Mt. China's growth was greater than the rest of the world's decrease but some think it may be close to peak.
- Will 2027 emissions be lower than 2026?
- This market will resolves based on IEA's numbers when released based on the actual change in CO2 emissions between the two years, no matter what extraordinary event (like COVID) may happen each year.
- I have created the same markets for 2024, 2025 and 2026 and, at the time of market creation, none has reached >50%.
Mercati aperti
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 altri esiti
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- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
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- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027??
- Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 aprile 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1.1% in 2023 (IEA), or by a mere 0.1% according to this Nature article.