Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 76.9% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Come viene liquidato Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 76.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

23 mar 26, 11:47 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria

Global carbon emissions will be measured using total energy-related CO2 emissions data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), available at https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-2025/co2-emissions.
The market resolves YES if global greenhouse gas emissions (measured in Gt CO2eq, including all sources) in any year from 2025-2029 are lower than the previous year's emissions.
The market resolves NO if emissions continue to increase or remain flat through 2029.
Resolution will use the most recent official data available from the IEA or Global Carbon Project by end of 2030.
Total energy-related CO2 emissions increased by 0.8% in 2024, hitting an all-time high of 37.8 Gt CO2.