Previsione della comunità attuale
No 97.1%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo19 ott 23, 20:33 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Macron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsEmmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurRegole
In France the constitution does not allow for a president to run for 3 terms in a row.
- The idea emerged that LREM, Macron's political party would promote a constitutional revision to allow Macron to run for a third term.
- The elections will take place in April/May 2027.
- So if before the end of 2026 the constitution has been changed, the answer will be YES.
- If not, the NO wins.
