Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 72.5%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
1 dic 23, 23:52 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk cease to be CEO of SpaceX before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029?
FutuurElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This will resolve to YES, if on Jan 1, 2030
- Elon Musk has an active profile on X.com //////////////////
- if Elon dies if X.com substantially rebrands if Elon is banned from X etc - will resolve to NO.
Mercati aperti
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 659,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,8K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volume totale
- 3,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volume totale
- 18,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 15,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volume totale
- 49,8K €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030??
- Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon Musk have an active 𝕏 profile on January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This will resolve to YES, if on Jan 1, 2030