Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
One-OffSociety & Culture3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.9%
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66
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
13 dic 22, 07:27 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves subjectively.
- What this might include is a noticeable split into e.g. longtermist and neartermist.
- For example, with a large (>10%) minority of members of either groups stopping to identify as part of broader EA generally.
- Open to hashing out more objective criteria.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves subjectively.