Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 74%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto14 nov 24, 09:08 UTC8 gen 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.
Mercati aperti
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 936K €
- Volume 24h
- 714,5K €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 567,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 564,3K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 482,8K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 403K €
- Volume 24h
- 382,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will Dwarkesh do a podcast with Satoshi Nakamoto before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Satoshi Nakamoto has appeared on a published video/audio podcast with Dwarkesh Patel before January 1st 2031.