Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Politica USAIAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.4%
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mar 24, 00:52 UTC2 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Clarifications:
- the halt does not need to be permanent
- the halt must target a broad swath of frontier AI research
- the halt must apply to all serious countries
- the person has to say call for it seriously, i.e. not as a joke.
- the person doesn't need to have a super specific plan in mind as long as it's clear what they mean.
