Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 96.9%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto18 dic 25, 20:26 UTC31 dic 26, 20:25 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president through December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer serving as president by that date, including through resignation, removal via the 25th Amendment, impeachment and conviction, or any other means of losing the office.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official White House website (whitehouse.gov) or major news sources confirming the sitting president on December 31, 2026.
- Trump previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021, making him the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 847,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria