Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.4%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 08:25 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi)
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Volume totale
- 18 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 Mln €
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- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 16 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election??
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats win the 2026 Alaskan Governor election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if a candidate listed on the ballot as a Democrat wins