Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto29 lug 26, 17:04 UTC1 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve YES if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Democratic Party wins at least 225 seats.
- Definition of "Democratic Seat": Any seat won by a candidate who ran on the Democratic ballot line.
- Independents who caucus with Democrats do not count toward this total unless they were elected as Democrats.
- Resolution Source: This market will resolve based on the "Partisan Breakdown" table provided by Ballotpedia (link below).
- Timing: Resolution will occur once Ballotpedia has called all 435 races.
- If any race is subject to a recount or legal challenge, resolution will be delayed until a winner is certified or conceded.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections??
- Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve YES if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Democratic Party wins at least 225 seats.