Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJan 1, 2025 100%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto2 apr 24, 12:55 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsCuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026?
FutuurCommunist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegime change in Cuba by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba
- For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states
- Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both the named outcome and the following years will resolve as NO.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates?
- Manifold Markets quota Jan 1, 2025 al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates?
- Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba