Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026?
One-OffCommoditiesTrade PolicyChinaGeopolitica6gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88.4%
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Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
17 feb 26, 09:01 UTC15 set 26, 09:01 UTC
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Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.
- The baseline and subsequent prices will be verified using data from authoritative sources such as the US Geological Survey (USGS) and industry reports from Roskill and Adamas Intelligence.
- The new Chinese export restrictions, effective December 1, 2025, are expected to significantly impact global supply chains, potentially leading to price increases due to limited availability and increased geopolitical tensions.
- This threshold is critical as it reflects the anticipated market response to these restrictions, which could disrupt supply and elevate prices significantly.
- Source: Article
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026??
- Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.