Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
CinaOne-Off2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.9%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
7 apr 26, 14:15 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of graphite anode material on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if China has active, unresumed MOFCOM export controls (licensing requirements, quotas, or bans) on natural graphite or synthetic graphite anode material (HS 3801.10 synthetic graphite, HS 3801.90 coated spherical graphite) on December 31, 2026.
- Current status (April 2026): Controls are suspended (the late-2025 1-year pause from US-China trade talks).
- This market resolves YES if the suspension expires and controls resume before/by December 31, 2026, OR if new controls are announced before that date.
- MOFCOM reinstates export licensing requirements for HS 3801.10 or HS 3801.90 that are in active effect on December 31, 2026
- New export control measures targeting graphite are announced and in force by Dec 31, 2026
- The 2025 suspension remains in effect through December 31, 2026