Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85%
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2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo6 apr 26, 18:23 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of silicon metal on December 31, 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) or State Council has active export control measures — including licensing requirements, quotas, or bans — specifically targeting silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM export licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2026 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions with no additional restrictions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry (mofcom.gov.cn)
- China State Council / NDRC official trade policy announcements
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates