Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.4%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
5 giu 26, 00:15 UTC29 feb 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Will China fly taikonauts in cislunar space before Chinese New Year 2028?
- As long as they are withing the sphere of influence it counts.
- https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/isaacman-chinese-taikonauts-likely-to-fly-around-moon-in-2027/
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if China launches a crewed spacecraft carrying at least one human astronaut (taikonaut) that successfully enters cislunar space or the Moon's gravitational sphere of influence (including lunar flybys, circumlunar trajectories, lunar orbit, or landing) before Chinese New Year 2028
- While China's officially declared objective is to land taikonauts on the lunar surface by 2030, observers and aerospace officials have suggested precursor missions are planned.
