Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.8%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ott 24, 23:38 UTC1 gen 28, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWill China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?
Manifold MarketsWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsWill people fly on moon before 2040?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRegole
[tweet]Must be substantially manufactured by SpaceX / Starlink.
- For example, main board PCB manufacturing, PCB assembly, or final product assembly.
- The production facility must be owned and operated by SpaceX / Starlink; a branded phone produced by a different manufacturer would not count.
- If Starlink or other portions of SpaceX are spun off into separate companies or subsidiaries, any such company would be included.
- The qualifying production facility must not be located in China (PRC).
- The phone must be available to order and shipping to consumers on or before 2027-12-31 UTC, but limited availability would still count.