Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 71.3%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto3 feb 24, 08:11 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024.
- The United States Department of Defense believes China "will probably have over 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by 2030."
- Will China's stockpile of operational nuclear warheads be 1,000 or more before 2030, according to credible sources?
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- 30°C+20.5pt67.9%
- 31°C+7.5pt20.8%
- 29°C-17.5pt10.4%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45K €
- Volume 24h
- 39K €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No72.3%
- Yes27.7%
- Volume totale
- 386,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,2K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31-0.2pt98%
- December 31-0.6pt98%
- September 30-2.8pt95%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 25,9K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 25,7K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-1.0pt68.3%
- Moonshot-0.4pt25.7%
- Z.ai+1.1pt3%
+8 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: China is assessed to have 500 nuclear warheads as of Jan 2024.