Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Cardano EthereumOne-OffCripto Criminalità e giustizia3a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 89.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 12 minuti fa

2 dic 22, 05:16 UTC31 dic 29, 05:00 UTC

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if they are not found not guilty.
Examples that count: wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft.

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Cardano

KALSHI

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CardanoDenaro–lettera registrato0%–7%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC
Bitcoin+1.0ptStorico registrato di 24hDenaro–lettera registrato5%–13%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC
Ethereum-5.0ptStorico registrato di 24hDenaro–lettera registrato2%–10%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC

+4 altri esiti

Volume totale: 3K €
Volume 24h: 313,8 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

No74.8%
Yes25.2%

Volume totale: 113,3 €
Volume 24h: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 altri esiti

Volume totale: 228,4 €

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??: Manifold Markets quota No al 89.4% al 10 ottobre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??: Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
Come viene liquidato Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

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Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Mercati aperti

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

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Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

Mercati aperti

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?