Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

CardanoOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 74.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 ore fa

Obsoleto

27 gen 26, 20:31 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
The market was initialized to 14%.

Mercati aperti

Cardano

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Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

CardanoDenaro–lettera registrato0%–7%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC
Bitcoin+1.0ptStorico registrato di 24hDenaro–lettera registrato5%–13%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC
Ethereum-5.0ptStorico registrato di 24hDenaro–lettera registrato2%–10%Raccolto: 10 ott 2026, 07:50 UTC

+4 altri esiti

Volume totale: 3K €
Volume 24h: 313,8 €

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

No89.4%
Yes10.6%

Volume totale: 609,1 €
Volume 24h: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 altri esiti

Volume totale: 228,4 €

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Manifold Markets quota No al 74.8% al 10 ottobre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
Come viene liquidato Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-ada-palmer-inventing-the-renai

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Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mercati aperti

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

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Domande frequenti

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

Mercati aperti

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?