Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Canada become a member of the EU before 2040??

Manifold Markets quota No al 86.5% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Canada become a member of the EU before 2040??

Will Canada become a member of the EU before 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.

EuropaOne-Off13a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 86.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

22 mar 25, 22:49 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Canada has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.

This also applies if a main successor to Canada joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.