Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week??

Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 3 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week??

Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 dicembre 2026.

One-OffValute2m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 95%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 ore fa

Obsoleto

28 set 26, 20:53 UTC20 dic 26, 04:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Calvin Wang is a first-year student at MIT and described my sleep schedule as "lowkey kinda appealing".

Will he adopt it for a week?
Informally, this market resolves YES if for seven consecutive days in the fall semester, Calvin sleeps for at least seven hours and wakes up before 6:30am.
Formally, let a day D be passing if Calvin is not asleep between 6:30am local time and 6:30pm local time on day D and is asleep for at least seven hours from 6:30pm local time on day D to 6:30am local time on day D+1.
This market resolves YES if there exist seven consecutive days in the Fall 2026 semester at MIT which are passing.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO.