Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.2%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto18 gen 26, 10:23 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Criminal contempt of Congress carries a maximum penalty of up to one year in prison and a fine of up to $100,000.
- This market resolves YES if either Bill or Hillary Clinton spends any time in prison during 2026 as a result of criminal conviction or court-ordered incarceration.
- This includes time served for contempt of Congress or any other criminal charge.
- The market resolves NO if neither spends any time in prison during 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of sentencing and incarceration.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 111,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 25,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 843K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 523,1K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,6 Mln €
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- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026??
- Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria