Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (97.8%)
Risolto: 12 ott 2026, 11:35
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Yes
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 12 ott 2026, 18:04 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes97.8%
No2.200000000000003%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
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Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
Resolving based on the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.