Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75.4%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
27 mag 26, 17:33 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiGolden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
KalshiRegole
This resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation officially announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Source of Truth: Official announcements published on NobelPrize.org.
- Timeframe: If the Nobel Foundation announces him as a laureate on or before the market's closing date (1/1/2050), this market will resolve to YES.
- If no such announcement has occurred by the market's close, it will resolve to NO.
