Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
One-OffPolitica USASalute e medicina3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 81.9%
Previsori
63
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 22, 22:11 UTC1 gen 30, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will parents in Vermont be penalized for their child's sex transition / gender-affirming care
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI will commonly be used to code simple apps by the end of the following years:
Manifold MarketsEOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
KalshiWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegole
"Adult" here will mean anyone over 21, not 18, since we already have laws preventing <21-year-olds from doing certain things to their body, like smoking or drinking.
- The ban must be for existing types of gender-affirming care, not something new and experimental.
- (Medical interventions only, not stuff like name changes, dress, or pronoun usage.)
