Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 99%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
7 set 26, 01:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
- If a senate goes to a runoff (eg.
- Georgia) resolves based on runoff only.
- First round ignored.
- In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
