Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & CorporateManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 15 ago 2026, 21:40
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 giorni fa
Obsoleto12 gen 26, 0:5215 ago 26, 21:40
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regole
Prop resolves Yes if, by August 15, 2026, any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks have an IPO or direct listing with closing market cap over $200 billion.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
